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- ÍtemA city of cities: Measuring how 15-minutes urban accessibility shapes human mobility in Barcelona(2021) Graells-Garrido, Eduardo; Rowe, Francisco; Serra-Burriel, Feliu; Cucchietti, Fernando M.; Reyes, PatricioAs cities expand, human mobility has become a central focus of urban planning and policy making to make cities more inclusive and sustainable. Initiatives such as the “15-minutes city” have been put in place to shift the attention from monocentric city configurations to polycentric structures, increasing the availability and diversity of local urban amenities. Ultimately they expect to increase local walkability and increase mobility within residential areas. While we know how urban amenities influence human mobility at the city level, little is known about spatial variations in this relationship. Here, we use mobile phone, census, and volunteered geographical data to measure geographic variations in the relationship between origin-destination flows and local urban accessibility in Barcelona. Using a Negative Binomial Geographically Weighted Regression model, we show that, globally, people tend to visit neighborhoods with better access to education and retail. Locally, these and other features change in sign and magnitude through the different neighborhoods of the city in ways that are not explained by administrative boundaries, and that provide deeper insights regarding urban characteristics such as rental prices. In conclusion, our work suggests that the qualities of a 15-minutes city can be measured at scale, delivering actionable insights on the polycentric structure of cities, and how people use and access this structure.
- ÍtemA combined photovoltaic and novel renewable energy system: An optimized techno-economic analysis for mining industry applications(01/04/2017) Vyhmeister, Eduardo; Muñoz, Cristina Aleixendri; Bermúdez, José Miguel; Pina Moya, Javier; Fúnez Guerra, Carlos; Rodríguez Mayor, Lourdes; Godoy Faúndez, Alex; Higueras, Pablo; Clemente-Jul, Carmen; Valdés-González, Héctor; Reyes-Bozo, LorenzoThe productivity of the mining industry in Chile, currently the main driver of Chilean economy, is closely tied to foreign demand for ores. Ore-processing is known for involving energy–intensive processes, such as comminution, concentrating and cathodic processes. As mining activities take place in the arid north of Chile, they are affected by water scarcity. Water shortage has forced the industry to pump desalinated seawater up to mining sites over 2000 m above sea level, further increasing electricity consumption. Given these energy needs, and the fact that electrical energy supply in the north of Chile is based on fossil fuels, it is important to consider the use of renewable energies as environment-friendly and economic alternatives. The aim of this work is to evaluate, by an optimized techno-economic analysis, the use of photovoltaic and a novel wind-based technology to supply at least 10% of the current and the predicted electrical energy requirements of the mining industry in the Antofagasta region. A combination of an optimization problem and technical evaluation was performed using Matlab to obtain the optimal number of solar and wind-based technology units in a case study. Total energy generation from a novel wind-based technology unit is 67,616 MWh/y, corresponding to 14.45·106 Nm3 (1298 t) of hydrogen and 7.41·106 Nm3(10,323 t) of oxygen after electrolytical transformation. Considering a 65% efficiency of the combined cycle fed with hydrogen and oxygen, 28,133 MWh/y of electrical energy would be obtained. For the cases studied the cost of energy from the combined system was estimated to be between 0.255 US$/kWh and 0.273 US$/kWh, slightly higher than the average energy regional cost. According to the analysis, the renewable energy system could be a sustainable alternative to supply economic green energy to the mining industry in Chile.
- ÍtemA comparison of optimization models for lumber production planning(2015) Palma, Cristian D.; Sepúlveda, Héctor; Vergara, Francisco P.The performance of sawmills is strongly dependent on how logs are sawn into lumber in order to satisfy the customer demands. To do this, sawmill managers have to decide which cutting patterns have to be applied to logs of different dimensions. Optimization models have been proposed to assist decision makers in this process, but only the profit maximization and the cost minimization of the decisions have been considered as the models objective. In this paper, a linear optimization model was formulated to address lumber production planning and applied to a real problem. The current decisions at sawmills were compared with five different objective functions: the two previously mentioned plus waste minimization, log number minimization and production time minimization. Only profit maximization and waste minimization models reported positive economic returns. Although the current decision at sawmills also reported a positive economic return, the same economic result was obtained with significantly fewer resources using the waste minimization model. The effects of the different objectives on the production indicators were discussed
- PublicaciónA Conceptual Model Considering Multiple Agents for Water Management(2022-06-30) Rivadeneira Tassara, Benjamín; Valdés González, Héctor; Fúnez Guerra, Carlos; Reyes-Bozo, LorenzoIn Chile, as in many other areas of the world, water supplies have been poorly managed and water availability is decreasing. In order to manage water resources more sustainably and equitably, it is necessary to understand and predict their supply and use considering the characteristics of a particular zone. This study aimed to develop a conceptual model for water management in the Libertador Bernardo O’Higgins Region in Chile. The model considers the water needs of industries with production activities, human consumption, and the ecological flow of each sub-basin in the area. The results show that the proposed model contributes to the understanding of the critical variables, their agents, and the interaction between the hydric demands, which enables the prioritization of human consumption and the ecological flow. Furthermore, the cross-analysis between the offer and demand indicates that current and predicted consumption levels will only be sustainable up to the year 2031. The findings may be of use to decision-makers seeking to improve water management plans in this area and elsewhere, and to others interested in modeling water management in different areas.
- ÍtemA Consistently Processed Strong-Motion Database for Chilean Earthquakes(2022) Castro, Sebastián; Benavente, Roberto; Crempien, Jorge G.F.; Candia, Gabriel; Llera, Juan Carlos de laSince the 1985 M 8.0 central Chile earthquake, national strong‐motion seismic networks have recorded ten megathrust earthquakes with magnitudes greater than M 7.5 at the convergent margin, defined by the contact between the Nazca and South American plates. The analysis of these earthquake records have led to improved hazard analyses and design codes for conventional and seismically protected structures. Although strong‐motion baseline correction is required for a meaningful interpretation of these records, correction methods have not been applied consistently in time. The inconsistencies between correction methods have been neglected in the practical use of these records in practice. Consequently, this work aims to provide a new strong‐motion database for researchers and engineers, which has been processed by traceable and consistent data processing techniques. The record database comes from three uncorrected strong motion Chilean databases. All the records are corrected using a four‐step novel methodology, which detects the P‐wave arrival and introduces a baseline correction based on the reversible‐jump Markov chain Monte Carlo method. The resulting strong motion database has more than 2000 events from 1985 to the date, and it is available to download at the Simulation Based Earthquake Risk and Resilience of Interdependent Systems and Networks (SIBER‐RISK) project website.
- ÍtemA Cross-Cutting Approach for Relating Anthropocene, Environmental Injustice and Sacrifice Zones(2022) Gayo, Eugenia M.; Muñoz, Ariel A.; Maldonado, Antonio; Lavergne, Céline; Francois, Jean Pierre; Rodríguez-Oroz, Delia; Klock-Barría, Karin; Sheppard, Paul R.; Aguilera-Betti, Isabella; Alonso-Hernández, Carlos; Mena-Carrasco, Marcelo; Urquiza, Anahí; Gallardo, LauraThe Anthropocene is an uneven phenomenon. Accelerated shifts in the functioning of the Earth System are mainly driven by the production and consumption of wealthy economies. Social, environmental and health costs of such industrialization, however, bear on low-income communities inhabiting severely degraded territories by polluting activities (i.e., sacrifice zones). How global, national and local socioeconomic and governance processes have interacted in perpetuating socio-environmental inequalities in these territories has been rarely explored. Here, we develop an historical quantitative approach integrating a novel chemostratigraphic record, data on policy making, and socio-economic trends to evaluate the feedback relationship between environmental injustice and Anthropocene in sacrifice zones. We specifically outline a case study for the Puchuncaví valley -one of the most emblematic sacrifice zones from Chile-. We verify an ever-growing burden of heavy metals and metalloids over the past five decades paced by the staggering expansion of local industrial activities, which has ultimately been spurred by national and transnational market forces. Local poverty levels have declined concomitantly, but this path toward social equality is marginal as costs of pollution have grown through time. Indeed, national and international pollution control actions appear insufficient in mitigating the cumulative impact brought by highly toxic elements. Thus, our sub-decadal reconstruction for pollution trends over the past 136 years from a sediment record, emerges as a science-based tool for informing the discussion on Anthropocene governance. Furthermore, it helps to advance in the assessment of environmental inequality in societal models that prioritize economic growth to the detriment of socio-environmental security.
- PublicaciónA data fusion approach with mobile phone data for updating travel survey-based mode split estimates(2023) Graells-Garrido, Eduardo; Opitz, Daniela; Rowe, Francisco; Arriagada, JacquelineUp-to-date information on different modes of travel to monitor transport traffic and evaluate rapid urban transport planning interventions is often lacking. Transport systems typically rely on traditional data sources providing outdated mode-of-travel data due to their data latency, infrequent data collection and high cost. To address this issue, we propose a method that leverages mobile phone data as a cost-effective and rich source of geospatial information to capture current human mobility patterns at unprecedented spatiotemporal resolution. Our approach employs mobile phone application usage traces to infer modes of transportation that are challenging to identify (bikes and ride-hailing/taxi services) based on mobile phone location data. Using data fusion and matrix factorisation techniques, we integrate official data sources (household surveys and census data) with mobile phone application usage data. This integration enables us to reconstruct the official data and create an updated dataset that incorporates insights from digital footprint data from application usage. We illustrate our method using a case study focused on Santiago, Chile successfully inferring four modes of transportation: mass-transit (all public transportation), motorised (cars and similar vehicles), active (pedestrian and cycle trips), and taxi (traditional taxi and ride-hailing services). Our analysis revealed significant changes in transportation patterns between 2012 and 2020. We quantify a reduction in mass-transit usage across municipalities in Santiago, except where metro/rail lines have been more recently introduced, highlighting added resilience to the public transport network of these infrastructure enhancements. Additionally, we evidence an overall increase in motorised transport throughout Santiago, revealing persistent challenges in promoting urban sustainable transportation. Findings also point to a rise in the share of taxi usage, and a drop in active mobility, suggesting a modal shift towards less sustainable modes of travel. We validate our findings comparing our updated estimates with official smart card transaction data. The consistency of findings with expert domain knowledge from the literature and historical transport usage trends further support the robustness of our approach.
- ÍtemA deep learning approach for real-time crash prediction using vehicle-by-vehicle data(2021) Basso, Franco; Pezoa, Raúl; Varas, Mauricio; Villalobos, MatíasIn road safety, real-time crash prediction may play a crucial role in preventing such traffic events. However, much of the research in this line generally uses data aggregated every five or ten minutes. This article proposes a new image-inspired data architecture capable of capturing the microscopic scene of vehicular behavior. In order to achieve this, an accident-prediction model is built for a section of the Autopista Central urban highway in Santiago, Chile, based on the concatenation of multiple-input Convolutional Neural Networks, using both the aggregated standard traffic data and the proposed architecture. Different oversampling methodologies are analyzed to balance the training data, finding that the Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Networks technique with random undersampling presents better results when generating synthetic instances that permit maximizing the predictive performance. Computational experiments suggest that this model outperforms other traditional prediction methodologies in terms of AUC and sensitivity values over a range of false positives with greater applicability in real life.
- ÍtemA framework to account for structural damage, functional efficiency and reparation costs within the optimal design of countermeasures: Application to snow avalanche risk mitigation(2022) Favier, Philomène; Eckert, Nicolás; Faug, Thierry; Bertrand, David; Ousset, Isabelle; Candia, Gabriel; Llera, Juan Carlos de laIn mountain areas, long-term snow avalanche risk evaluation is of paramount importance for land use planning. In avalanche-prone areas, when real estate demand is high, for instance, building protective structures may be a sensible choice for reaching a compromise between safety and development. Specifically, minimizing the risk within a quantitative framework can provide optimal defense structure configurations (size, localization, construction technology, etc.). However, existing approaches based on a proper theoretical decision-making framework still suffer from limitations making them hardly usable in practice. It is herein proposed to account for the physical, functional, and monetary dimensions of a protective measure within the assessment of total risk. Total risk, which is calculated as the mean expected loss, is quantified within a four-state system in which the failure of the dam and the failure of the dwellings to be protected are assessed with specific vulnerability relations. Bounds for the risk and subsequent optimal dam design values are quantified using minimum and maximum (min/max) functional efficiency relations of the dam. Additional assumptions regarding the functional-structural efficiency relation allow for the optimal design and corresponding minimum risk to be reached. An application is proposed with a case study from the French Alps. A comprehensive parametric study shows that the min/max bounds risk quantification is worth implementing in some cases, such as, for instance: if there is a high uncertainty of the functional efficiency of the dam, of if the assets to be protected have a monetary value. However, when the failure of the dam is unlikely to occur (due to its location or to its material resistance), it is shown that quantification of the intermediate risk without the min/max bounds approach is sufficient. In the future, the framework could be extended to many other mountain hazards (debris flows, landslides, etc.), more complex elements at risk, and even to problems going beyond the sole question of land-use planning such as traffic road regulation.
- ÍtemA Framework to Understand Attitudes towards Immigration through Twitter(2021) Freire-Vidal, Yerka; Graells-Garrido, Eduardo; Rowe, FranciscoUnderstanding public opinion towards immigrants is key to prevent acts of violence, discrimination and abuse. Traditional data sources, such as surveys, provide rich insights into the formation of such attitudes; yet, they are costly and offer limited temporal granularity, providing only a partial understanding of the dynamics of attitudes towards immigrants. Leveraging Twitter data and natural language processing, we propose a framework to measure attitudes towards immigration in online discussions. Grounded in theories of social psychology, the proposed framework enables the classification of users’ into profile stances of positive and negative attitudes towards immigrants and characterisation of these profiles quantitatively summarising users’ content and temporal stance trends. We use a Twitter sample composed of 36 K users and 160 K tweets discussing the topic in 2017, when the immigrant population in the country recorded an increase by a factor of four from 2010. We found that the negative attitude group of users is smaller than the positive group, and that both attitudes have different distributions of the volume of content. Both types of attitudes show fluctuations over time that seem to be influenced by news events related to immigration. Accounts with negative attitudes use arguments of labour competition and stricter regulation of immigration. In contrast, accounts with positive attitudes reflect arguments in support of immigrants’ human and civil rights. The framework and its application can inform policy makers about how people feel about immigration, with possible implications for policy communication and the design of interventions to improve negative attitudes.
- ÍtemA horizontal collaborative approach for planning the wine grape harvesting(2022) Basso, Franco; Varas, Mauricio; Bosch, Paul; Contreras, Juan Pablo; Pezoa, RaúlHorizontal collaboration is a strategy that has increasingly been used for improving supply chain operations. In this paper, we analyze the benefits of using a collaborative approach when optimally planning the wine grape harvesting process. Particularly, we assess how labor and machinery collaborative planning impacts harvesting costs. We model cooperation among wineries as a coalitional game with transferable costs for which the characteristic function vector is computed by solving a new formulation for planning the wine grape harvesting. In order to obtain stable coalitions, we devise an optimization problem that incorporates both rationality and efficiency conditions and uses the Gini index as a fairness criterion. Focusing on an illustrative case, we develop several computational experiments that show the positive effect of collaboration in the harvesting process. Moreover, our computational results reveal that the results depend strongly on the fairness criteria used. The Gini index, for example, favors the formation of smaller coalitions compared to other fairness criteria such as entropy.
- ÍtemA mathematical basis for the graphene(2020) Conca, C.; San Martín, J.; Solano, VivianaWe present a new basis of representation for the graphene honeycomb structure that facilitates the solution of the eigenvalue problem by reducing it to one dimension. We define spaces in these geometrical basis that allow us to solve the Hamiltonian in the edges of the lattice. We conclude that it is enough to analyze a one-dimensional problem in a set of coupled ordinary second-order differential equations to obtain the behavior of the solutions in the whole graphene structure
- ÍtemA multi-objective approach for supporting wine grape harvest operations(2020) Varas, Mauricio; Basso, Franco; Maturana, Sergio; Osorio, David; Pezoa, RaúlIn this paper, we present a novel multi-objective mixed-integer linear programming model to support wine grape harvesting. The proposed model considers the opposing nature of operational cost minimization and grape quality maximization, subject to several constraints, such as grape requirements and routing decisions. Based on the operations of a winery we worked with, we develop a negotiation protocol that can lead to an agreed final harvest schedule. The protocol includes an initial Pareto optimal solution obtained through the augmented weighted Tchebycheff method. Then, the solutions are presented to the two decision-makers and, if no agreement is reached, we conduct an iterative process, which includes finding Pareto optimal solutions in a neighborhood using the augmented ∊ -constraint method. Finally, we choose, within this set, the solution following a substitution rate criteria. We illustrate our procedure using an educational example.
- ÍtemA Multiobjective Model for the Cutting Pattern Problem with Unclear Preferences(2016) Palma, Cristian D.; Vergara, Francisco P.The cutting pattern problem has been traditionally approached using single objective optimization models, although the sawmill performance is usually measured using more than a single indicator. One of the shortcoming of using multiobjective approaches is that they need a preference relationship among the objectives, which is difficult to determine in practice, and solutions are very sensitive to these preferences. In this article, we consider different criteria in a sawmill decisionmaking context using a multiobjective linear optimization model and handle the unclear definition of the objective preferences by formulating a robust version of the model. Although the deterministic formulation assumes perfect information of the objective preferences, in the robust formulation we consider that preferences may be different from their estimate. We show that deterministic decisions are more balanced in terms of the different criteria than the traditional single objective models, although their quality is very sensitive to the objective preferences. We also show that robust decisions are also balanced but less sensitive to the preferences. We explore how the level of the different indicators and the cutting decisions are affected when the preferences are unclear.
- ÍtemA New Genetic Algorithm Encoding for Coalition Structure Generation Problems(2020) Contreras, Juan Pablo; Bosch, Paul; Varas, Mauricio; Basso, FrancoGenetic algorithms have proved to be a useful improvement heuristic for tackling several combinatorial problems, including the coalition structure generation problem. In this case, the focus lies on selecting the best partition from a discrete set. A relevant issue when designing a Genetic algorithm for coalition structure generation problems is to choose a proper genetic encoding that enables an efficient computational implementation. In this paper, we present a novel hybrid encoding, and we compare its performance against several genetic encoding proposed in the literature. We show that even in difficult instances of the coalition structure generation problem, the proposed approach is a competitive alternative to obtaining good quality solutions in reasonable computing times. Furthermore, we also show that the encoding relevance increases as the number of players increases.
- PublicaciónA new method to map groundwater-dependent ecosystem zones in semi-arid environments: A case study in Chile(2022) Duran-Llacer, Iongel; Arumi, José Luis; Arriagada, Loretto; Aguayo, Mauricio; Rojas, Octavio; González-Rodríguez, Lisdelys; Rodríguez-López, Lien; Martínez-Retureta, Rebeca; Oyarzún, Ricardo; Kumar Singh, SudhirGroundwater (GW) use has intensified in recent decades, threatening the ecological integrity of groundwater-dependent ecosystems (GDEs). The study of GDEs is limited; therefore, integrated, interdisciplinary environmental approaches that guarantee their monitoring and management amid current climate and anthropogenic changes are needed. A new geospatial method with an integrated and temporal approach was developed through a multicriteria approximation, taking into account expert opinion, remote sensing-GIS, and fieldwork to map groundwater-dependent ecosystem zones (GDEZ). A survey of experts (N = 26) was conducted to assign degrees of importance to the various geospatial parameters, and the mapping was carried out using 14 parameters. The reclassified parameters were normalized on a scale of 1 to 5 according to the degree of probability of the presence of GDE. The validation was carried out through fieldwork and statistical analysis. Then, the spatio-temporal changes amid changing GW levels were assessed using the summer season normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). Two GDEZ maps were obtained, for 2002 and 2017, between which the high- and very-high-probability zones of GDEs decreased by 31,887 ha (~ 38%). The most sensitive temporal parameters that most influenced the spatio-temporal changes on GDEs were precipitation and land use, with rain exerting a slightly the greatest influence. It was also demonstrated that identified ecosystems decreased in area or were affected
- ÍtemA New State-of-the-Art Platform for Probabilistic and Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment(2019) Candia, Gabriel; Macedo, Jorge; Jaimes, Miguel A.; Magna-Verdugo, CarolinaA new computational platform for seismic hazard assessment is presented. The platform, named SeismicHazard, allows characterizing the intensity, uncertainty, and likelihood of ground motions from subduction-zone (shallow interface and intraslab) and crustal-zone earthquakes, considering site-specific as well as regional-based assessments. The platform is developed as an object-oriented MATLAB graphical user interface, and it features several state-of-the-art capabilities for probabilistic and deterministic (scenario-based) seismic hazard assessment. The platform integrates the latest developments in performancebased earthquake engineering for seismic hazard assessment, including seismic zonation models, ground-motion models (GMMs), ground-motion correlation structures, and the estimation of design spectra (uniform hazard spectra, classical conditional mean spectrum (CMS) for a unique tectonic setting). In addition to these standard capabilities, the platform supports advanced features, not commonly found in existing seismic hazard codes, such as (a) computation of source parameters from earthquake catalogs, (b) vector-probabilistic seismic hazard assessment, (c) hazard evaluation based on conditional GMMs and user-defined GMMs, (d) uncertainty treatment in the median ground motions through continuous GMM distributions, (e) regional shaking fields, and (f ) estimation of CMS considering multiple GMMs and multiple tectonic settings. The results from the platform have been validated against accepted and well-documented benchmark solutions.
- ÍtemA New Warmstarting Strategy for the Primal-Dual Column Generation Method(Springer, 2015) Gondzio, J; González-Brevis, PThis paper presents a new warmstarting technique in the context of a primal-dual column generation method applied to solve a particular class of combinatorial optimization problems. The technique relies on calculating an initial point and on solving auxiliary linear optimization problems to determine the step direction needed to fully restore primal and dual feasibilities after new columns arrive. Conditions on the maximum size of the cuts and on a suitable initial point are discussed. Additionally, the strategy ensures that the duality gap of the warmstart is bounded by the old duality gap multiplied with a (small) constant, which depends on the relation between the old and modified problems. Computational experiments demonstrate the gains achieved when compared to a coldstart approach.
- ÍtemA nonlinear model for multilayered rubber isolators based on a co-rotational formulation(01/01/2017) Maureira, N.; Llera, J. de la; Oyarzo, C.; Miranda, S.This article proposes a geometrically nonlinear co-rotational model aimed to characterize the mechanical behavior of elastomeric seismic isolators. The model is able to capture the axial and lateral coupling in both axial directions, i.e. compression and tension of the isolator. Also reproduces the instability the loads in tension as well as in compression, and provides theoretical evidence of the non-symmetric behavior of the isolator in these two directions. To validate model results, a quasistatic analysis was performed on a typical isolator with many different shape factors. From the parametric analysis performed, it is observed that buckling loads are higher in tension than in compression. However, as the shape factor of the isolator increases, the behavior in compression and tension becomes symmetric. It becomes apparent that significant differences in normal stresses and strains under tensile and compressives loads are observed for axial loads smaller than 10% of the nominal buckling load. The example presented shows that lateral displacements of about 25% of isolator radius and tension forces up to 10% of the buckling load are possible without inducing cavitation in the rubber. Accuracy of the model was also tested against finite element model results and experimental data showing satisfactory results. Furthermore, a response-history analysis of an isolated structure is presented and compared for two isolator models: the two-spring model and the model proposed herein. Finally, material nonlinearity was introduced in the dynamic analysis using a Bouc-Wen type element in parallel with the isolator. The responses are similar between models; however, significant differences occur locally in the isolator for high axial loads and/or large lateral displacements. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
- PublicaciónA physiology-inspired framework for holistic city simulations(2022-07) Meta, Irene; Cucchietti, Fernando M.; Navarro Mateu, Diego; Graells Garrido, Eduardo; Guallart, VicenteLife, services and activities within cities have commonly been studied by separate disciplines, each one independent from the others. One such approach is the computer simulation, which enables in-depth modelling and cost-effective evaluation of city phenomena. However, the adoption of integrated city simulations faces several barriers, such as managerial, social, and technical, despite its potential to support city planning and policymaking. This paper introduces the City Physiology: a new conceptual framework to facilitate the integration of city layers when designing holistic simulators. The physiology is introduced and applied through a process of three steps. Firstly, a literature review is offered in order to study the terminology and the progress already made towards integrated modelling of different urban systems. Secondly, interactions between urban systems are extracted from the approaches studied before. Finally, the pipeline to carry out the integration strategy is described. In addition to providing a conceptual tool for holistic simulations, the framework enables the discovery of new research lines generated by previously unseen connections between city layers. Being an open framework, available to all researchers to use and broaden, the authors of this paper envisage that it will be a valuable resource in establishing an exact science of cities.