The economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector. A non-linear agricultural supply model

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dc.contributor.authorPonce Oliva, Roberto
dc.contributor.authorBlanco, María
dc.contributor.authorGiupponi, Carlo
dc.date.accessioned2016-01-22T10:26:03Z
dc.date.available2016-01-22T10:26:03Z
dc.date.issued01/12/2014
dc.description.abstractAgriculture could be one of the most vulnerable economic sectors to the impacts of climate change in the coming decades, with impacts threatening agricultural production in general and food security in particular. Within this context, climate change will impose a challenge to policy makers, especially in those countries that based their development on primary sectors. In this paper we present a non-linear agricultural supply model for the analysis of the economic impacts of changes in crop yields due to climate change. The model accounts for uncertainty through the use of Monte Carlo simulations about crop yields. According to our results, climate change impacts on the Chilean agricultural sector are widespread, with considerable distributional consequences across regions, and with fruits producers being worst-off than crops producers. In general, the results reported here are consistent with those reported by previous studies showing large economic impacts on the northern zone. However, our model does not simulate remarkable economic consequences at the country level as previous studies did
dc.identifier.citationChilean journal of agricultural research, 2014, vol. 74, n° 4
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11447/181
dc.identifier.urihttp://dx.doi.org/10.4067/S0718-58392014000400005
dc.language.isoen_US
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectfarming model
dc.subjectIrrigation
dc.subjectUncertainty
dc.titleThe economic impacts of climate change on the Chilean agricultural sector. A non-linear agricultural supply model
dc.typeArtículo

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