Browsing by Author "Anderson, Craig S"
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Item Blood pressure variability and outcome in acute ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke: a post hoc analysis of the HeadPoST study(2019) Minhas, Jatinder; Wang, Xia; Lavados, Pablo; Moullaali, Tom; Arima, Hisatomi; Billot, Laurent; Olavarria, Veronica; Middleton, Sandy; Pontes, Octavio; De Silva, H Asita; Lee, Tsong; Pandian, Jeyaraj; Mead, Gillian; Watkins, Caroline; Chalmers, John; Anderson, Craig S; Robinson, Thompson; HeadPoST InvestigatorsThe Head Positioning in Acute Stroke Trial (HeadPoST) is a pragmatic, international, cluster crossover randomized trial of 11,093 patients with acute stroke assigned to a lying-flat (0°) or sitting-up (head elevated ≥30°) position. This post hoc analysis aimed to determine the association between blood pressure variability (BPV) and outcomes for patients from a wide range of international clinical settings and how the association was modified by randomized head position. BPV was defined according to the standard criteria, with the key parameter considered the coefficient of variation (CV) of systolic BP (SBP) over 24 h. Outcome was ordinal 90-day Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score. The association was analyzed by ordinal, logistic regression, hierarchical, mixed models with fixed intervention (lying flat vs. sitting up), and fixed period, random cluster, and random cluster-period, effects. Nine thousand one hundred and fifty six (8324 acute ischemic stroke and 817 intracerebral hemorrhage; mean age 68.1 years; 39.2% women) were included in the analysis. CV of SBP had a significant linear association with unfavorable shift of mRS at 90 days (adjusted odds ratio 1.06, 95% confidence interval 1.02-1.11; P = 0.01). There was no heterogeneity of the association by randomized head positioning. In addition, CV of diastolic BP (DBP) (1.08, 1.03-1.12; P = 0.001) over 24 h post stroke was significantly associated with 3-month poor outcome. The association was more apparent in sitting-up position (1.12, 1.06-1.19) compared with lying-flat position (1.03, 0.98-1.09) (P interaction = 0.005). BPV was associated with adverse stroke outcome, and the magnitude of the association was greater with sitting-up head positioning in terms of DBP variability.Item Characteristics, management and response to alteplase in China versus non-China participants of the ENCHANTED trial(2017) Song, Lily; Wang, Xia; Robinson, Thompson; Lindley, Richard I; Arima, Hisatomi; Lavados, Pablo; Chen, Xiaoying; Chalmers, John; Anderson, Craig SBackground: The characteristics of patients with acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) and their management vary across regions, which may influence outcomes. We examined for differential patterns of outcome between China and non-China participants of the ENhanced Control of Hypertension And Thrombolysis strokE stuDy (ENCHANTED), which tested different alteplase doses in AIS. Methods: ENCHANTED was an international, multicentre, open, blinded-endpoint trial of the effects of low-dose (0.6 mg/kg) versus standard-dose (0.9 mg/kg) intravenous alteplase on 90-day disability outcomes and symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage (sICH) in 3310 patients with AIS. Results: Participants (n=1419, 48%) in China were younger, and more often male, hypertensive and with prior stroke and coronary artery disease, but less likely to have atrial fibrillation and use antihypertensive, antithrombotic and lipid-lowering agents, compared with non-China patients with AIS. Although China participants had more AIS due to large artery occlusion, were treated later and had differing ancillary management, there was no significant difference in 90-day modified Rankin scale scores 2-6 (55.6% vs 47.8%; OR, adjusted for baseline and management factors 0.87 (95% CI 0.71 to 1.07; p=0.20)) and risk of sICH (Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke-Monitoring Study criteria: 1.4% vs 1.8%; p=0.12) compared with non-China participants. There was no heterogeneity in the treatment effects of low-dose versus standard-dose alteplase between China and non-China participants. Conclusion: Patients with AIS recruited to the ENCHANTED trial in China had similar outcomes in response to thrombolysis treatment despite significantly differing demographic, clinical and management factors to patients with AIS in other regions.Item No benefit of flat head positioning in early moderate-severe acute ischaemic stroke: a HeadPoST study subgroup analysis(2020) Brunser, Alejandro M; Ouyang, Menglu; Arima, Hisatomi; Lavados, Pablo; Robinson, Thompson; Muñoz Venturelli, Paula; Olavarría, Verónica V; Billot, Laurent; Hackett, Marre L; Song, Lili; Middleton, Sandy; Pontes-Neto, Octavio; Lee, Tsong-Hai; Watkins, Caroline; Anderson, Craig SBackground: Although the Head Positioning in acute Stroke Trial (HeadPoST) showed no effect of the flat head position (FP; vs sitting up head position (SUP)) on functional outcome, we hypothesised that it could still offer benefits if commenced early in those with acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) of at least moderate severity. Methods: Subgroup analysis of HeadPoST in participants with National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores ≥7, ≥10 and ≥14, randomised to FP or SUP <4.5 hours of AIS onset on functional outcomes defined by a shift in scores on the modified Rankin scale (mRS) and death/disability (mRS scores 3-6), and any cardiovascular serious adverse event. Logistic regression analyses were undertaken adjusted for study design and baseline risk factors. Results: There was no significant differential treatment effect in patient subgroups defined by increasing baseline NIHSS scores: adjusted OR and 95% CI for ordinal shift and binary (3-6) mRS scores: for NIHSS ≥7 (n=867) 0.92 (0.67 to 1.25) and 0.74 (0.52 to 1.04); NIHSS ≥ 10 (n=606) 0.80 (0.58 to 1.10) and 0.77 (0.49 to 1.19); NIHSS ≥14 (n=378) 0.82 (0.54 to 1.24) and 1.22 (0.69 to 2.14). Conclusions: Early FP had no significant effect in patients with moderate-severe AIS.Item Prognostic significance of early urinary catheterization after acute stroke: Secondary analyses of the international HeadPoST trial(2021) Ouyang, Menglu; Billot, Laurent; Song, Lili; Wang, Xia; Roffe, Christine; Arima, Hisatomi; Lavados, Pablo; Hackett, Maree L; Olavarría, Verónica V; Muñoz Venturelli, Paula; Middleton, Sandy; Pontes-Neto, Octavio M; Lee, Tsong-Hai; Watkins, Caroline L; Robinson, Thompson G; Anderson, Craig SBackground: An indwelling urinary catheter (IUC) is often inserted to manage bladder dysfunction, but its impact on prognosis is uncertain. We aimed to determine the association of IUC use on clinical outcomes after acute stroke in the international, multi-center, cluster crossover, Head Positioning in Acute Stroke Trial (HeadPoST). Methods: Data were analyzed on HeadPoST participants (n = 11,093) randomly allocated to the lying-flat or sitting-up head position. Binomial, logistic regression, hierarchical mixed models were used to determine associations of early insertion of IUC within seven days post-randomization and outcomes of death or disability (defined as "poor outcome," scores 3-6 on the modified Rankin scale) and any urinary tract infection at 90 days with adjustment of baseline and post-randomization management covariates. Results: Overall, 1167 (12%) patients had an IUC, but the frequency and duration of use varied widely across patients in different regions. IUC use was more frequent in older patients, and those with vascular comorbidity, greater initial neurological impairment (on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale), and intracerebral hemorrhage as the underlying stroke type. IUC use was independently associated with poor outcome (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.40, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13-1.74), but not with urinary tract infection after adjustment for antibiotic treatment and stroke severity at hospital separation (aOR: 1.13, 95% CI: 0.59-2.18). The number exposed to IUC for poor outcome was 13. Conclusions: IUC use is associated with a poor outcome after acute stroke. Further studies are required to inform appropriate use of IUC.Item Regional variation in acute stroke care organisation(2016) Muñoz Venturelli, Paula; Robinson, Thompson; Lavados, Pablo; Olavarría, Verónica V; Arima, Hisatomi; Billot, Laurent; Hackett, Maree L; Lim, Joyce Y; Middleton, Sandy; Pontes-Neto, Octavio; Peng, Bin; Cui, Liying; Song, Lily; Mead, Gillian; Watkins, Caroline; Lin, Ruey-Tay; Lee, Tsong-Hai; Pandian, Jeyaraj; Asita de Silva, H; Anderson, Craig SBackground: Few studies have assessed regional variation in the organisation of stroke services, particularly health care resourcing, presence of protocols and discharge planning. Our aim was to compare stroke care organisation within middle- (MIC) and high-income country (HIC) hospitals participating in the Head Position in Stroke Trial (HeadPoST). Methods: HeadPoST is an on-going international multicenter crossover cluster-randomized trial of 'sitting-up' versus 'lying-flat' head positioning in acute stroke. As part of the start-up phase, one stroke care organisation questionnaire was completed at each hospital. The World Bank gross national income per capita criteria were used for classification. Results: 94 hospitals from 9 countries completed the questionnaire, 51 corresponding to MIC and 43 to HIC. Most participating hospitals had a dedicated stroke care unit/ward, with access to diagnostic services and expert stroke physicians, and offering intravenous thrombolysis. There was no difference for the presence of a dedicated multidisciplinary stroke team, although greater access to a broad spectrum of rehabilitation therapists in HIC compared to MIC hospitals was observed. Significantly more patients arrived within a 4-h window of symptoms onset in HIC hospitals (41 vs. 13%; P<0.001), and a significantly higher proportion of acute ischemic stroke patients received intravenous thrombolysis (10 vs. 5%; P=0.002) compared to MIC hospitals. Conclusions: Although all hospitals provided advanced care for people with stroke, differences were found in stroke care organisation and treatment. Future multilevel analyses aims to determine the influence of specific organisational factors on patient outcomes.Item Sex differences in treatment, radiological features and outcome after intracerebral haemorrhage: Pooled analysis of Intensive Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral Haemorrhage trials 1 and 2(2020) Sandset, Else Charlotte; Wang, Xia; Carcel, Cheryl; Sato, Shoichiro; Delcourt, Candice; Arima, Hisatomi; Stapf, Christian; Robinson, Thompson; Lavados, Pablo; Chalmers, John; Woodward, Mark; Anderson, Craig SIntroduction: Reports vary on how sex influences the management and outcome from acute intracerebral haemorrhage. We aimed to quantify sex disparities in clinical characteristics, management, including response to blood pressure lowering treatment, and outcomes in patients with acute intracerebral haemorrhage, through interrogation of two large clinical trial databases. Patients and methods: Post-hoc pooled analysis of the Intensive Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral Haemorrhage trials 1 and 2, where patients with a hypertensive response (systolic, 150-220 mmHg) after spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage (<6 h) were randomised to intensive (target <140 mmHg <1 h) or guideline-recommended (<180 mmHg) blood pressure lowering treatment. The interaction of sex on early haematoma growth (24 h), death or major disability (modified Rankin scale scores 3-6 at 90 days), and effect of randomised treatment were determined in multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for baseline confounding variables. Results: In 3233 participants, 1191 (37%) were women who were significantly older, had higher baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores and smaller haematoma volumes compared to men. Men had higher three-month mortality (odds ratio 1.48, 95% confidence interval 1.10-2.00); however, there was no difference between women and men in the combined endpoint of death or major disability. There were no significant sex differences on mean haematoma growth or effect of randomised blood pressure lowering treatment. Discussion: Men included in the Intensive Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral Haemorrhage trials had more comorbidities, larger baseline haematoma volumes and higher mortality after adjustment for age, as compared with women. Conclusion: Men included in the Intensive Blood Pressure Reduction in Acute Cerebral Haemorrhage trials had a greater odds of dying after intracerebral haemorrhage than women, which could not be readily explained by differing casemix or patterns of blood pressure management.Item Sleep duration and risk of cardiovascular events: The SAVE study(2020) Li, Jingwei; Zheng, Danni; Loffler, Kelly A; Wang, Xia; McEvoy, R Doug; Woodman, Richard J; Luo, Yuanming; Lorenzi-Filho, Geraldo; Barbe, Ferran; Tripathi, Manjari; Anderson, Craig S; SAVE InvestigatorsBackground and aim: Controversy exists regarding cardiovascular risk in relation to sleep duration. We determined sleep duration and major recurrent cardiovascular event associations in patients with obstructive sleep apnoea and established cardiovascular disease. Methods: Secondary analyses of the international, multicenter, Sleep Apnea Cardiovascular Endpoints trial. Sleep duration was estimated from overnight home oximetry (ApneaLink monitor) used for obstructive sleep apnoea diagnosis. Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine associations of categorized sleep duration (<6 h, 6-8 h (reference), and >8 h) and major cardiovascular outcomes: primary composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and any hospitalization for unstable angina, heart failure, or transient ischemic attack; secondary composite of cardiac and cerebral (stroke/transient ischemic attack) events. Results: Oximetry-derived sleep duration estimates were available in 2687 participants (mean 61.2 years, 80.9% males) who experienced a total of 436 cardiovascular events over a mean follow-up of 3.7 years. Compared to the reference category, sleep duration was not associated with risk of the primary composite cardiovascular outcome (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.00, 95% confidence interval 0.76-1.33, and HR 1.22, 95% confidence interval 0.98-1.52, for sleep duration <6 and >8 h, respectively). However, long sleep was associated with increased cerebral events (HR 1.67, 95% confidence interval 1.17-2.39; P = 0.005) and stroke alone (HR 1.79, 95% confidence interval 1.22-2.63; P = 0.003). Conclusions: Long sleep duration is associated with an increased risk of stroke but not cardiac events in obstructive sleep apnoea patients with existing cardiovascular diseaseItem Smoking influences outcome in patients who had thrombolysed ischaemic stroke: the ENCHANTED study(2021) Sun, Lingli; Song, Lili; Yang, Jie; Lindley, Richard I; Robinson, Thompson; Lavados, Pablo; Delcourt, Candice; Arima, Hisatomi; Ovbiagele, Bruce; Chalmers, John; Anderson, Craig S; Wang, XiaBackground and purpose: As studies vary in defining the prognostic significance of smoking in acute ischaemic stroke (AIS), we aimed to determine the relation of smoking and key outcomes in patient participants who had thrombolysed AIS of the international quasi-factorial randomised Enhanced Control of Hypertension and Thrombolysis Stroke Study (ENCHANTED). Methods: Post-hoc analyses of ENCHANTED, an international quasi-factorial randomised evaluation of intravenous alteplase-dose comparison and levels of blood pressure control in patients who had thrombolysed AIS. Multivariable logistic regression models with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) propensity scores were used to determine associations of self-reported smoking status and clinical outcomes, according to 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores and symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage (sICH). Results: Of 4540 patients who had an AIS, there were 1008 (22.2%) current smokers who were younger and predominantly male, with more comorbidities of hypertension, coronary artery disease, atrial fibrillation and diabetes mellitus, and greater baseline neurological impairment, compared with non-smokers. In univariate analysis, current smokers had a higher likelihood of a favourable shift in mRS scores (OR 0.88, 95% CI 0.77 to 0.99; p=0.038) but this association reversed in a fully adjusted model with IPTW (adjusted OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.28; p=0.009). A similar trend was also apparent for dichotomised poor outcome (mRS scores 2–6: OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.33; p=0.007), but not with the risk of sICH across standard criteria. Conclusion: Smoking predicts poor functional recovery in patients who had thrombolysed AIS.Item Statistical analysis plan for the Head Position in Stroke Trial (HeadPoST): An international cluster cross-over randomized trial(2017) Billot, Laurent; Woodward, Mark; Arima, Hisatomi; Hackett, Maree L; Muñoz Venturelli, Paula; Lavados, Pablo; Brunser, Alejandro; Peng, Bin; Cui, Liying; Song, Lily; Heritier, Stephane; Jan, Stephen; Middleton, Sandy; Olavarría, Verónica V; Lim, Joyce; Robinson, Thompson; Pontes-Neto, Octavio; Watkins, Caroline; Anderson, Craig SBackground There is evidence to indicate that the lying flat head position increases cerebral blood flow and oxygenation in patients with acute ischemic stroke, but how these physiological effects translate into clinical outcomes is uncertain. The Head Position in Stroke Trial aims to determine the comparative effectiveness of lying flat (0°) compared to sitting up (≥30°) head positioning, initiated within 24 h of hospital admission for patients with acute stroke. Design An international, pragmatic, cluster-randomized, crossover, open, blinded outcome assessed clinical trial. Each hospital with an established acute stroke unit (cluster) site was required to recruit up to 140 consecutive cases of acute stroke (one phase of head positioning before immediately crossing over to the other phase of head positioning), including both acute ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage, in each randomized head position as a 'business as usual' policy. Objective To outline in detail the predetermined statistical analysis plan for the study. Methods All accumulated data will be reviewed and formally assessed. Information regarding baseline characteristics of patients, their process of care and management will be outlined, and for each item, statistically relevant descriptive elements will be described. For the trial outcomes, the most appropriate statistical comparisons are described. Results A statistical analysis plan was developed that is transparent, verifiable, and predetermined before completion of data collection. Conclusions We developed a predetermined statistical analysis plan for Head Position in Stroke Trial to avoid analysis bias arising from prior knowledge of the findings, in order to reliably quantify the benefits and harms of lying flat versus sitting up early after the onset of acute stroke. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT02162017; ANZCTR identifier ACTRN12614000483651.Item Update on the Global Burden of Ischemic and Hemorrhagic Stroke in 1990-2013: The GBD 2013 Study(2015) Feigin, Valery L; Krishnamurthi, Rita V; Parmar, Priya; Norrving, Bo; Mensah, George A; Bennett, Derrick A; Barker-Collo, Suzanne; Moran, Andrew E; Sacco, Ralph L; Truelsen, Thomas; Davis, Stephen; Durai Pandian, Jeyaraj; Naghavi, Mohsen; Forouzanfar, Mohammad H; Nguyen, Grant; Johnson, Catherine O; Vos, Theo; Meretoja, Atte; Murray, Christopher J L; Roth, Gregory A; Ferede Abera, Semaw; Olusola Akinyemi, Rufus; Al-Shahi Salman, Rustam; Anderson, Craig S; Bahit, María Cecilia; Banerjeesela, Amitava; Basu, Sanjay; Beauchamp, Norman J; Bornstein, Natan; Brainin, Michael; Cabral, Norberto Luiz; Campos-Nonato, Ismael; Caso, Valeria; Catalá-López, Ferrán; Chowdhury, Rajiv; Christensen, Hanne K; Connor, Myles D; DeVeber, Gabrielle; Dharmaratne, Samath D; Dokova, Klara; Donnan, Geoffrey; Endres, Matthias; Gomes Fernandes, Jefferson; Gankpé, Fortuné; Geleijnse, Johanna M; Gillum, Richard F; Giroud, Maurice; Hamadeh, Randah R; Hankey, Graeme J; Jeemon, Panniyammakal; Jonas, Jost B; Kazi, Dhruv S; Kengne, Andre Pascal; Kim, Daniel; Kissela, Brett M; Kokubo, Yoshihiro; Kosen, Soewarta; Kravchenko, Michael; Lavados, PabloBackground: Global stroke epidemiology is changing rapidly. Although age-standardized rates of stroke mortality have decreased worldwide in the past 2 decades, the absolute numbers of people who have a stroke every year, and live with the consequences of stroke or die from their stroke, are increasing. Regular updates on the current level of stroke burden are important for advancing our knowledge on stroke epidemiology and facilitate organization and planning of evidence-based stroke care. Objectives: This study aims to estimate incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and years lived with disability (YLDs) and their trends for ischemic stroke (IS) and hemorrhagic stroke (HS) for 188 countries from 1990 to 2013. Methodology: Stroke incidence, prevalence, mortality, DALYs and YLDs were estimated using all available data on mortality and stroke incidence, prevalence and excess mortality. Statistical models and country-level covariate data were employed, and all rates were age-standardized to a global population. All estimates were produced with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Results: In 2013, there were globally almost 25.7 million stroke survivors (71% with IS), 6.5 million deaths from stroke (51% died from IS), 113 million DALYs due to stroke (58% due to IS) and 10.3 million new strokes (67% IS). Over the 1990-2013 period, there was a significant increase in the absolute number of DALYs due to IS, and of deaths from IS and HS, survivors and incident events for both IS and HS. The preponderance of the burden of stroke continued to reside in developing countries, comprising 75.2% of deaths from stroke and 81.0% of stroke-related DALYs. Globally, the proportional contribution of stroke-related DALYs and deaths due to stroke compared to all diseases increased from 1990 (3.54% (95% UI 3.11-4.00) and 9.66% (95% UI 8.47-10.70), respectively) to 2013 (4.62% (95% UI 4.01-5.30) and 11.75% (95% UI 10.45-13.31), respectively), but there was a diverging trend in developed and developing countries with a significant increase in DALYs and deaths in developing countries, and no measurable change in the proportional contribution of DALYs and deaths from stroke in developed countries. Conclusion: Global stroke burden continues to increase globally. More efficient stroke prevention and management strategies are urgently needed to halt and eventually reverse the stroke pandemic, while universal access to organized stroke services should be a priority. © 2015 S. Karger AG, Basel.Item Validation of the simplified modified Rankin scale for stroke trials: Experience from the ENCHANTED alteplase-dose arm(2021) Chen, Xiaoying; Li, Jingwei; Anderson, Craig S; Lindley, Richard I; Hackett, Maree L; Robinson, Thompson; Lavados, Pablo; Wang, Xia; Arima, Hisatomi; Chalmers, John; Delcourt, Candice; the ENCHANTED InvestigatorsBackground and aims: The structured, simplified modified Rankin scale questionnaire (smRSq) may increase reliability over the interrogative approach to scoring the modified Rankin scale (mRS) in acute stroke research and practice. During the conduct of the alteplase-dose arm of the international ENhanced Control of Hypertension ANd Thrombolysis StrokE stuDy (ENCHANTED), we had an opportunity to compare each of these approaches to outcome measurement. Methods: Baseline demographic data were recorded together with the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS). Follow-up measures obtained at 90 days included mRS, smRSq, and the 5-Dimension European Quality of life scale (EQ-5D). Agreements between smRSq and mRS were assessed with the Kappa statistic. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify baseline predictors of Day 90 smRSq and mRS scores. Treatment effects, based on Day 90 smRSq/mRS scores, were tested in logistic and ordinal logistic regression models. Results: SmRSq and mRS scores had good agreement (weighted Kappa 0.79, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.78–0.81), while variables of age, atrial fibrillation, diabetes mellitus, pre-morbid mRS (1 vs. 0), baseline NIHSS scores, and imaging signs of cerebral ischemia, similarly predicted their scores. Odds ratios for death or disability, and ordinal shift, 90-day mRS scores using smRSq were 1.05 (95% CI 0.91–1.20; one-sided P=0.23 for non-inferiority) and 0.98 (95% CI 0.87–1.11; P=0.02 for non-inferiority), similar to those using mRS. Conclusions: This study demonstrates the utility of the smRSq in a large, ethnically diverse clinical trial population. Scoring of the smRSq shows adequate agreement with the standard mRS, thus confirming it is a reliable, valid, and useful alternative measure of functional status after acute ischemic stroke.